#food-inflation
Pranjul Bhandari: Temperature trends tell us more about future food inflation than rainfall levels do
Temperature has become a better predictor than rainfall of India’s farm sector-driven economic outcomes. And our heat problem worsens in El Niño years. As we enter a season of overlapping shocks, estimates for 2026-27 show the damage we can expect.
Mideast Urea Output Slumps With Lack of Fertilizer Ships to Load
More than half of the Middle East’s urea output may have been lost since the start of the Iran conflict, which is continuing to disrupt fertilizer flows from the region and threatening global food inflation.